Fire Island (FI) and NYC Weather

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FI and NYC Weather was started by Mitchel Volk (M.S. Meteorology) to provide visitors to and residents of FI and NYC with accurate and reliable weather forecasts to inform their plans for the coming week.
Links to my past media coverage:
Gothamist
https://gothamist.com/news/nycs-secret-winter-weapon-is-named-mitch
WNEW 5
https://www.fox5ny.com/news/nyc-sanitation-departments-weather-weapon
🌤️ Weather Forecast – October 21, 2026 (12:30 PM Update)
📍 NYC & Fire Island
🍂 What a great fall weather pattern! A stretch of cool, comfortable weather is ahead, with generally sunny skies lasting through next weekend and beyond. No rain is in sight—just some high clouds from the offshore storm.
🌊 Northeast winds and high surf will bring some beach erosion today, even with the strong storm remaining offshore. The surf should begin to subside tomorrow.
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🦟 Mosquito Alert Dropped: The colder weather appears to have reduced mosquito activity—some welcome news!
⚠️ Important Tick Information: Ticks remain very active, so continue to be careful!
https://www.facebook.com/groups/141584049360024/permalink/3155886817929717/
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🌀 Hurricane Update
For the latest tropical outlook, visit the National Hurricane Center:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7
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🌊 Water Temperatures
• 🌊 Atlantic Ocean: 62°F
• 🌅 Great South Bay: 56°F
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🔗 Tides
NOAA Tide Predictions – Cherry Grove (Ocean):
Great South Bay – Sayville (Brown Creek):
https://www.tide-forecast.com/locations/Sayville-Brown-Creek-Long-Island-New-York/tides/latest
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💧 How Dew Points Feel
• 🌵 Below 55°F: Dry and comfortable
• 🙂 55–60°F: Pleasant
• 😐 60–65°F: Becoming humid
• 🥵 65–70°F: Muggy
• 🔥 70–75°F: Very muggy and oppressive
• ⚠️ Above 75°F: Extreme humidity, with an increased risk of heat stress
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📅 Detailed Forecast
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Wednesday • October 21
• 🌤️ High clouds and high surf
• 🌬️ Winds: Northeast at 10–30 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid-60s
• 💧 Dew Point: Mid-30s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Tonight
• 🌙 High clouds
• 🌬️ Winds: Northeast at 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Lows: Upper 40s
• 💧 Dew Point: Upper 30s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Thursday • October 22
• 🌤️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ Winds: Northwest at 10–15 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid-60s
• 💧 Dew Point: Low 40s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Friday • October 23
• ☀️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ Winds: North at 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid- to upper 50s
• 💧 Dew Point: Mid-20s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Saturday • October 24
• ☀️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ Winds: Light and variable
• 🌡️ Highs: Around 60°F
• 💧 Dew Point: Low 30s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Sunday • October 25
• 🌤️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ Winds: Variable at 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Low to mid-60s
• 💧 Dew Point: Low 30s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Monday • October 26
• 🌤️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ Winds: Northwest at 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Upper 60s
• 💧 Dew Point: Low 30s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Tuesday • October 27
• 🌤️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ Winds: Northwest at 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid-60s
• 💧 Dew Point: Low 40s
• 🔒 Confidence: Medium
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Wednesday • October 28
• 🌤️ High clouds
• 🌬️ Winds: East at 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Low 60s
• 💧 Dew Point: Mid-40s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Mitchel Volk, MS – Meteorologist, MBA
🌤️ FI NYC Weather
🌀 “We’ve got your weather—coming and going.”


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