Fire Island (FI) and NYC Weather

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FI and NYC Weather was started by Mitchel Volk (M.S. Meteorology) to provide visitors to and residents of FI and NYC with accurate and reliable weather forecasts to inform their plans for the coming week.
Links to my past media coverage:
Gothamist
https://gothamist.com/news/nycs-secret-winter-weapon-is-named-mitch
WNEW 5
https://www.fox5ny.com/news/nyc-sanitation-departments-weather-weapon
🌤️ Weather Forecast – January 23, 2026 (1 PM)
Cold air is starting to drain into the region today, and by tonight it will be frigid.
The next system will be a major storm, as a powerful system from the southwest brings heavy snow and significant accumulations to our area. There is a chance of mixing with sleet and freezing rain in NYC, and possibly even a brief change to rain on Fire Island. Even if mixing occurs, a significant snowfall (6”+) still looks likely.
Areas north and west of the city, much of Pennsylvania, Upstate NY, and New England will likely see 12”+.
This storm will be a major news-maker, bringing stormy weather to a large portion of the nation. Following the storm, even more frigid air moves in and lasts through next week.
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🌪️ Snow Chances (NYC & Fire Island – Next 7 Days)
• ❄️ Flurries or light snow — Likely
• 🌨️ 1–4” — Likely
• 🌨️ 4–8” — Likely
• 🌨️ 8”+ — Medium (City & Coast), Likely inland
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🌊 Water Temperatures
• 🌊 Atlantic Ocean: 43°F
• 🌅 Great South Bay Buoy: 40°F
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🔗 Tides
NOAA Tide Predictions – Cherry Grove (Ocean)
Great South Bay – Sayville Brown Creek
https://www.tide-forecast.com/locations/Sayville-Brown-Creek-Long-Island-New-York/tides/latest
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📅 Detailed Forecast
Friday • January 23
• 🌤️ Sun and clouds
• 🌬️ NW 15–40 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid 30s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Tonight
• 🌙 Mainly clear
• 🌬️ NW 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Lows: Low teens
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Saturday • January 24
• 🌥️ High clouds
• 🌬️ NW 15–30 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid to upper teens
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Sunday • January 25
• 🌨️ Snow develops around 7 AM, becoming heavy by late afternoon — significant accumulations likely
• 🌬️ NE 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Upper teens to low 20s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Sunday Night
• 🌨️ Heavy snow at times, possibly mixing with sleet or freezing rain in NYC.
For Fire Island and areas south of the city, precipitation may briefly change to rain before returning to snow or flurries.
Expected Storm Totals:
• NYC: 6–12”
• Fire Island: 6–10”
• North & West / Ski Country: 12–18”
• 🌬️ NE 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Temps rising into the mid 20s NYC, low 30s FI
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Monday • January 26
• 🌨️ Lingering light snow or flurries — little additional accumulation
• 🌬️ NW 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid 20s NYC, Low 30s FI, then falling
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Tuesday • January 27
• 🌤️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ NW 15–30 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Low 20s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Wednesday • January 28
• ⛅ Sun and clouds
• 🌬️ NW 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid 20s
• 🔒 Confidence: Medium
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Thursday • January 29
• ⛅ Sun and clouds
• 🌬️ NW 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Upper 20s
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
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Friday • January 30
• 🌤️ Sun and clouds
• 🌬️ NW 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid 20s
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
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Mitchel Volk, MS – Meteorologist, MBA
🌤️ FI NYC Weather
🌀 “We’ve got your weather — coming and going.”


The Sayville Ferry began the Fire Island run in 1894. For over one hundred years, Fire Island - with its wide ocean beaches, natural forests, wetlands and lively downtowns - has been an attraction for people from all over the world. Fire Island's central communities of Cherry Grove, Fire Island Pines, Water Island and Sailors Haven/Sunken Forest, a Fire Island National Seashore Park, are served by the Sayville Ferry, which is located on River Road in the South Shore hamlet of Sayville. Once on the island, the only means of transport is a hand-pulled wagon and the only rubber you burn is the soles of your shoes.
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