Fire Island (FI) and NYC Weather
Who We Are
Our Story
FI and NYC Weather was started by Mitchel Volk (M.S. Meteorology) to provide visitors to and residents of FI and NYC with accurate and reliable weather forecasts to inform their plans for the coming week.
Links to my past media coverage:
Gothamist
https://gothamist.com/news/nycs-secret-winter-weapon-is-named-mitch
WNEW 5
https://www.fox5ny.com/news/nyc-sanitation-departments-weather-weapon
🌤️ Weather Forecast – June 28, 2026 (11 AM Update)
📍 NYC & Fire Island
Today is looking beautiful for the NYC Pride Parade, as the cloud cover will help take the edge off the heat for marchers. Early next week is expected to remain dry and pleasant, with Monday and Tuesday looking great.
By Wednesday, a massive Midwest heat dome will begin influencing our weather. While some computer models are forecasting temperatures approaching 110°F in New York City—which would exceed the city’s all-time record of 106°F, set during the 1936 Dust Bowl—I believe those projections are overdone. Even so, it still appears that dangerously hot weather is likely later next week, with even Fire Island expected to become unusually hot.
Conditions remain very dry over Fire Island as we continue to miss most of the rainfall affecting other parts of the region. Be sure to water your gardens as needed.
Important Tick Information
https://www.facebook.com/groups/141584049360024/permalink/3155886817929717/
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🌀 Hurricane Update
NHC Tropical Weather Outlook:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7
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🌊 Water Temperatures
• 🌊 Atlantic Ocean: 69°F
• 🌅 Great South Bay: 74°F
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🔗 Tides
NOAA Tide Predictions – Cherry Grove (Ocean)
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions.html?id=8515228&units=standard&bdate=20260626&edate=20260627&timezone=LST/LDT&clock=12hour&datum=MLLW&interval=hilo&action=dailychart
Great South Bay – Sayville (Brown Creek)
https://www.tide-forecast.com/locations/Sayville-Brown-Creek-Long-Island-New-York/tides/latest
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How Dew Points Feel
• 🌵 <55°F: Dry and comfortable
• 🙂 55–60°F: Pleasant
• 😐 60–65°F: Becoming humid
• 🥵 65–70°F: Muggy
• 🔥 70–75°F: Very muggy and oppressive
• ⚠️ >75°F: Extreme humidity with increased heat stress risk
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📅 Detailed Forecasts
Sunday, June 28
• 🌤️ Sun and clouds
• 🌬️ Light and variable winds
• 🌡️ Upper 70s to low 80s
• 💧 Dew Points: Mid to upper 60s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Tonight
• 🌙 Mainly clear
• 🌬️ Light and variable winds
• 🌡️ Upper 60s to low 70s
• 💧 Dew Points: Mid-60s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Monday • June 29
• ☀️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ Variable winds 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Mid-80s in NYC, upper 70s to low 80s on Fire Island
• 💧 Dew Points: Low 60s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Tuesday • June 30
• ☀️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ Variable winds 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Upper 80s in NYC, low 80s on Fire Island
• 💧 Dew Points: Low 60s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Wednesday • July 1
• 🌤️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ Light and variable winds
• 🌡️ Low 80s on Fire Island, mid-90s in NYC
• 💧 Dew Points: Upper 50s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Thursday • July 2
• 🌤️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ Northwest winds 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Upper 90s to near 100°F in NYC, mid-80s on Fire Island
• 💧 Dew Points: Mid-60s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
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Friday • July 3
• 🌤️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ Northwest winds 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Low 100s in NYC, low 90s on Fire Island
• 💧 Dew Points: Mid-60s
• 🔒 Confidence: Medium
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Saturday • July 4
• 🌤️ Mainly sunny, with a chance of late-day isolated thunderstorms
• 🌬️ Northwest winds 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Upper 90s to low 100s in NYC, upper 80s to low 90s on Fire Island
• 💧 Dew Points: Mid-60s
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
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Sunday • July 5
• 🌤️ Mainly sunny, with a chance of late-day isolated thunderstorms
• 🌬️ Northwest winds 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Upper 90s to low 100s in NYC, upper 80s on Fire Island
• 💧 Dew Points: Mid-60s
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
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Mitchel Volk, MS – Meteorologist, MBA
🌤️ FI NYC Weather
🌀 “We’ve got your weather — coming and going.”
Visit my website: finycweather.com
Community Connections
- Sayville Ferry Service
- Long Island Railroad
- Fire Island National Seashore
- Cherry Grove Community Association
- Arts Project Cherry Grove
- Cherry Grove Memorial Fund
- Cherry Grove Property Owners Association
- Cherry Grove Archives
- Cherry Grove Dune Fund
- Cherry Grove Fire Department
- Fire Island Pines Arts Project
- Fire Island Pines Historical Society
- Fire Island Pines Property Owners Association
- Fire Island Pines Seashore Defense Fund
Sponsors
Sayville Ferry
A Summer Place Realty
Cherry Grove Pizza
The Sayville Ferry began the Fire Island run in 1894. For over one hundred years, Fire Island - with its wide ocean beaches, natural forests, wetlands and lively downtowns - has been an attraction for people from all over the world. Fire Island's central communities of Cherry Grove, Fire Island Pines, Water Island and Sailors Haven/Sunken Forest, a Fire Island National Seashore Park, are served by the Sayville Ferry, which is located on River Road in the South Shore hamlet of Sayville. Once on the island, the only means of transport is a hand-pulled wagon and the only rubber you burn is the soles of your shoes.
Cherry Grove Pizza
A Summer Place Realty
Cherry Grove Pizza
Tucked under the world-famous Ice Palace in Cherry Grove, you’ll find Cherry Grove Pizza — serving up classic pizza, heroes, pasta, and hearty dinners. Don’t miss our delicious weekly specials!
A Summer Place Realty
A Summer Place Realty
D Katen Fire Island Properties, itd
🏡 Summer Place Realty
Fulfilling all your real estate needs — from purchasing to renting — in a beautiful, welcoming community on a national seashore.
D Katen Fire Island Properties, itd
D Katen Fire Island Properties, itd
🏡 d. Karen fire island properties. ltd
Fulfilling all your real estate needs — from purchasing to renting — in beautiful, welcoming communities on a national seashore.
The Island Breeze
The Island Breeze
🍽️ Serving breakfast, lunch, dinner, and late-night snacks with a full-service bar offering a great selection of cuisine and cocktails.